Croatia vs England

Our analysis favors Over 1.5 goals at 83.0% probability, reflecting the attacking potential of both sides despite their balanced overall matchup. Croatia and England each recorded 3 wins in their last 5 matches, and recent head-to-head meetings show a pattern of competitive encounters—including a 4-2 result in June 2026 and a 2-1 England victory in 2018. The top exact score probabilities (1:1 at 15.6%, 1:0 at 10.2%, and 0:0 at 12.1%) collectively support a match likely to produce at least 2 goals, with Under 2.5 standing at only 58.0%, further reinforcing the case for the Over 1.5 selection.