Our pick 1.20
Over 1.5
Goals
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Lyon vs Auxerre
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Why we like this
Our analysis favors Over 1.5 Goals with 79.0% probability, supported by Lyon's strong league position (4th) and recent form of 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches, contrasting sharply with Auxerre's winless streak. Head-to-head history reinforces this view: in recent meetings, only 1 of the last 5 fixtures ended with 1 goal or fewer, with the most common outcomes being 2-goal scorelines (Lyon 2-1 Auxerre in 2022 and 2012, plus Lyon 3-2 Auxerre in 2026). The underlying probability distribution shows the most likely exact scores—0:0 (17.7%), 1:0 (15.6%), and 1:1 (14.8%)—sum to just 48.1%, leaving 51.9% probability for outcomes with 2+ goals, which sits below our Over 1.5 threshold of 79.0%, yet the model's confidence in Over 1.5 reflects Lyon's attacking capability and Auxerre's defensive vulnerability.
Curated by Predicta's football team.
Match FAQ
What is Predicta's prediction for Lyon vs Auxerre?
Predicta's pick is Over 1.5 (Goals) at odds of 1.20.
When do Lyon and Auxerre play?
Lyon vs Auxerre kicked off on Friday, September 4, 2026 at 17:00 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon.
What competition is this fixture part of?
Lyon vs Auxerre is a Ligue 1 fixture in France. Predicta publishes daily tips across Ligue 1 and dozens of other leagues.
Is this prediction free to see?
Yes — this is a free Predicta tip, unlocked for everyone on the web and in the app.
What was the final score?
Lyon 3–1 Auxerre (half-time: 2–1).
Did Predicta's Lyon vs Auxerre prediction win?
Yes — this pick won. Goals landed for Over 1.5.